COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Tennessee enters with a 3-1 record and 40.0 points per game, powered by an efficient attack that combines 196.5 passing yards per game with 241.5 rushing yards per game. The Volunteers’ defense has also held opponents to 15.5 points per game, which supports a game state that leans their direction. Arkansas is 2-2, scoring 23.0 points per game while allowing 27.0, and its offense has leaned more on the pass than the run. The Razorbacks’ defense has given up 124.8 rushing yards per game, a concern against a Tennessee ground game that has been the backbone of the offense.
Tennessee has the better offense, the stronger defensive numbers, and the more reliable scoring profile in this matchup, so the Volunteers are projected to control the game and land in the mid-30s. Arkansas should still generate some offense through the air, but its defense has allowed enough production to make Tennessee’s team total the cleanest value angle. Final projection: Tennessee Volunteers 34, Arkansas Razorbacks 23, with Tennessee reaching its team total and the game landing in the high-50s.
