COLLEGE FOOTBALL

South Carolina enters at 3-3 with a one-game winning streak, scoring 37.7 points per game and averaging 474.7 yards per game, with a balanced attack that includes 242.3 passing yards and 232.3 rushing yards per game. The concern is defense, where the Gamecocks are allowing 25.5 points and 340.8 yards per game, including 237.2 passing yards allowed per game. Tennessee is 6-1 and riding a three-game winning streak, scoring 33.4 points per game while allowing only 14.7, and its defensive efficiency has been the better unit in the matchup data. Offensively, though, the Volunteers are at 405.1 yards per game and 5.1 yards per play, which is below their 2025 level and leaves a path for South Carolina to stay ahead if the home offense continues to perform at its current pace.
South Carolina’s home offense and higher scoring output give it a slight edge in a game that should be competitive but tilted toward the Gamecocks late. Tennessee’s defense is strong, but its 2026 offensive efficiency has cooled enough to keep the margin within reach for the home team. The projected final score is South Carolina Gamecocks 31, Tennessee Volunteers 27, which supports South Carolina covering the spread and points to a moderately higher-scoring result than the market expectation.