COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Purdue enters with a 3-3 overall record and back-to-back wins, while Washington is also 3-3 but has dropped three straight. Purdue has scored 193 points and allowed 188, while Washington has scored 157 and allowed 133. Purdue’s defense has been more vulnerable in raw points allowed, but Washington’s recent form has been shakier, with conference struggles and a road record that has not inspired confidence. Washington’s yardage efficiency has also trended down, while Purdue’s recent yards-per-play form has improved over its last three games.
Purdue should control enough of this game at home to justify the moneyline position, with the projection leaning to a 31-27 Boilermakers win. Washington’s recent losing streak, weak ATS form, and road issues make it difficult to trust the Huskies to close out a tight game, while Purdue’s steadier scoring profile gives it the slight edge. The projected total lands in the upper range of the current market, but the strongest value remains Purdue on the moneyline because the win probability edge is solid without forcing a higher-risk price.
