SERIE A
Across six Serie A matches, Monza are 1-1-4 and Cagliari are 4-1-1. Monza have 9 goals from 11.22 xG and 15 conceded from 9.62 xGA, while Cagliari have 6 from 6.26 xG and 3 allowed from 11.15 xGA. Monza's 6.0 shots on target per match also tops Cagliari's 3.8.
Our Monza vs Cagliari prediction is Monza 2-1 Cagliari. We like Monza at +128 or better, with Cagliari's 4-1-1 start sitting behind a shaky 1.86 xGA baseline and likely regression.
