Bears vs Seahawks Player Props: Monday Night Football Week 8 Predictions
Updated October 29, 2026
Note: The prices listed above are from Polymarket and are subject to change based on trading activity before kickoff.
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Updated October 29, 2026
Note: The prices listed above are from Polymarket and are subject to change based on trading activity before kickoff.
The Chicago Bears (5-2) travel to Seattle to face the Seahawks (4-3) on Monday Night Football, November 2. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at Lumen Field.
Both teams are coming off wins, but Seattle's defense was especially impressive last week, holding Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to just three points in a 20-3 victory. Chicago, meanwhile, held off New England 30-24 and now faces another tough test on the road.
For this matchup, I've picked out three NFL player props that I like at their current Polymarket prices. Below, I'll break down my predictions for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Rome Odunze, and Sam Darnold, along with the stats, trends, and matchups supporting each pick.
Consistent Production
Smith-Njigba has cleared 100 receiving yards in six of seven games this season, averaging 123.9 yards and 11.1 targets per game. He's also topped 130 yards in each of his last two games against Denver and Kansas City.
Elite Target Share
JSN accounts for 36.3% of Seattle's targets, 51.1% of its air yards, and 50.2% of its receiving yards. He's also averaging an impressive 3.72 yards per route run, showing that he's making the most of those opportunities.
Favorable Matchup
Chicago has allowed 15.9 yards per reception to wide receivers, the second-worst mark in the NFL, along with a league-worst 11.3 yards per target to outside receivers. That's especially encouraging for JSN, who leads the NFL with 744 receiving yards when lined up outside.
Recommended Prediction:
JSN 100+ Rec Yds
Current Market Price:
53¢
Model Over Probability:
59.2%
Market-Implied Probability:
53.0%
Model Edge:
+6.2%
Buy Up To:
58¢
Model Confidence:
76/100
Better Usage Than Results
Odunze has cleared 3.5 receptions in only two of seven games this season, but he's finished with exactly three catches in four of his five misses. He's also played 92.6% of Chicago's offensive snaps over his last five games, averaging 6.2 targets during that stretch.
Seattle's Zone Coverage
The Seahawks play zone coverage on roughly 81% of dropbacks and rank first in defending intermediate and deep passes, compared to 14th against shorter throws. With 42% of Odunze's targets already coming within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, he could benefit if Chicago leans on shorter completions.
Potential Matchup Advantage
Odunze could also see plenty of Josh Jobe, whose 0.438 EPA allowed per target ranks in the bottom third among NFL cornerbacks.
Recommended Prediction:
Odunze 4+ Receptions
Current Market Price:
43¢
Model Over Probability:
48.6%
Market-Implied Probability:
43.0%
Model Edge:
+5.6%
Buy Up To:
47¢
Model Confidence:
74/100
Chicago's Passing TD Struggles
The Chicago Bears have allowed 11 passing touchdowns through seven games, with opponents throwing a touchdown on 5.58% of their attempts. That's the sixth-highest rate in the NFL and well above the league average of 4.57%.
Big-Play Potential
Jaxon Smith-Njigba already has eight receiving touchdowns this season, giving Darnold a reliable scoring target. Chicago has also allowed nine completions of 40+ yards, so Seattle has a chance to score through the air without even reaching the red zone.
Positive TD Regression
Darnold has thrown just two touchdowns on 108 attempts over his last three games, including 51 attempts without a score against Denver. His 1.85% touchdown rate over that stretch is well below Chicago's 5.58% rate allowed, making this a favorable matchup for some positive regression toward the mean.
Recommended Prediction:
Darnold 2+ Pass TDs
Current Market Price:
51¢
Model Over Probability:
55.9%
Market-Implied Probability:
51.0%
Model Edge:
+4.9%
Buy Up To:
54¢
Model Confidence:
69/100
Despite having the better record, Chicago (5-2) enters Monday Night Football as the underdog against Seattle (4-3).
The Seahawks are trading at 61.5¢ on Polymarket, implying a 61.5% chance of winning. Seattle is also favored by 3.5 points, with shares priced at 47¢ to cover, while the total sits at 46.5 points (51¢ for the over).
Our Bears vs. Seahawks prediction also sees value in the home favorite, with our model giving Seattle a 66% chance to win and projecting a 27-23 final score.
I'm expecting more offense than we saw in Seattle's 20-3 win over Kansas City last Sunday night. Our model projects 50 combined points, and I think Chicago's vulnerable pass defense gives Sam Darnold and Jaxon Smith-Njigba a good chance to put up numbers. On the other side, the Bears may need to throw more to keep pace, which could help Rome Odunze reach four receptions.
For more predictions across the rest of the Week 8 slate, check out our best NFL bets this week from the ATS.io team.
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