SERIE A
The shot-volume split also leans away from Genoa. Genoa average 3.0 shots on target per match, while Juventus sit at 5.4, and that extra pressure usually travels well in a matchup like this. Genoa’s scoring rate is 0.75 goals per game, so the attack has not turned limited volume into enough output. Juventus’ 1X2 market position lines up with a tight away win, and our projected score matches that shape.
Our Genoa vs Juventus prediction is Genoa 0-1 Juventus. We like Juventus on the moneyline because the chance gap is still wider than the market price suggests, and the entry threshold remains playable. Genoa’s weaker shot volume and defensive leakage keep the away win case intact.
